Skip to main content
icon for Выборы в Сенат Сан-Паулу: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Сан-Паулу: 2-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат Сан-Паулу: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Сан-Паулу: 2-е место

Эднельсон Чезаретти 44%

Веллер Гонсалвес 43%

Жералду Руфино 43%

Уильям Тейшейра 43%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Эднельсон Чезаретти 44%

Веллер Гонсалвес 43%

Жералду Руфино 43%

Уильям Тейшейра 43%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Эднельсон Чезаретти

Эднельсон Чезаретти

$0 Объем

44%

icon for Веллер Гонсалвес

Веллер Гонсалвес

$0 Объем

43%

icon for Жералду Руфино

Жералду Руфино

$0 Объем

43%

icon for Уильям Тейшейра

Уильям Тейшейра

$0 Объем

43%

icon for Андре ду Прадо

Андре ду Прадо

$0 Объем

43%

icon for Майра де Соуза

Майра де Соуза

$0 Объем

43%

icon for Марина Силва

Марина Силва

$0 Объем

43%

icon for Саллес

Саллес

$0 Объем

42%

icon for Симоне Тебет

Симоне Тебет

$0 Объем

41%

icon for д-р Элиана Феррейра

д-р Элиана Феррейра

$0 Объем

29%

icon for Петтер Маас

Петтер Маас

$0 Объем

25%

icon for Гилерме Деррите

Гилерме Деррите

$0 Объем

25%

icon for Сонья Франсини

Сонья Франсини

$0 Объем

25%

icon for Марсио Алвес

Марсио Алвес

$20 Объем

8%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).São Paulo voters will elect two senators in October 2026, and recent polls show a tight contest for the second seat among Marina Silva (Rede), Simone Tebet (PSB), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo). Official campaigning began in mid-August amid high undecided and blank/null shares that compress margins between frontrunners and challengers. Fragmented party support, varying rejection rates, and the absence of a dominant coalition keep the ordering fluid. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with small shifts in polling averages or turnout among key blocs likely to reorder the field before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$20
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).São Paulo voters will elect two senators in October 2026, and recent polls show a tight contest for the second seat among Marina Silva (Rede), Simone Tebet (PSB), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo). Official campaigning began in mid-August amid high undecided and blank/null shares that compress margins between frontrunners and challengers. Fragmented party support, varying rejection rates, and the absence of a dominant coalition keep the ordering fluid. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with small shifts in polling averages or turnout among key blocs likely to reorder the field before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$20
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Will Weller Gonçalves win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will Weller Gonçalves win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

45%
icon for Получит ли Марсело Марселино второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Параны 2026 года?

Получит ли Марсело Марселино второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Параны 2026 года?

45%
Да
icon for Получит ли Гуто Фелисио дос Сантос второй по количеству голосов на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа 2026 года?

Получит ли Гуто Фелисио дос Сантос второй по количеству голосов на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа 2026 года?

44%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Сан-Паулу: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 14 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Эднельсон Чезаретти» с 44%, за ним следует «Веллер Гонсалвес» с 44%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 44¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат Сан-Паулу: 2-е место» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Сан-Паулу: 2-е место», просмотри 14 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Сан-Паулу: 2-е место» — «Эднельсон Чезаретти» с 44%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Веллер Гонсалвес» с 44%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Сан-Паулу: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.