Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing at 65.5% amid her broad coalition “O Pará tá junto” that includes MDB, PT, PSD, and others. Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former Ananindeua mayor and main challenger, sits at 34% as the clearest alternative in a field of minor candidates. Recent polling has been mixed, with a mid-September Veritá survey showing Daniel ahead in the first round while earlier Quaest data indicated a tighter contest. Traders appear to weigh Hana’s incumbency, party infrastructure, and policy announcements on health, education, and social programs more heavily than single polls, with the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff as key resolution triggers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоХана Гассан 66%
Даниэль Сантос 34%
Эдер Мауро <1%
Зекинья Мариньо <1%
$49,152 Объем
$49,152 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Хана Гассан
66%
Даниэль Сантос
34%
Эдер Мауро
1%
Зекинья Мариньо
<1%
Рожерио Барра
<1%
Паулу Роша
<1%
Дирсеу Тен Катен
<1%
Хана Гассан 66%
Даниэль Сантос 34%
Эдер Мауро <1%
Зекинья Мариньо <1%
$49,152 Объем
$49,152 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Хана Гассан
$18,640 Объем
66%
Даниэль Сантос
$13,136 Объем
34%
Эдер Мауро
$5,467 Объем
1%
Зекинья Мариньо
$2,947 Объем
<1%
Рожерио Барра
$2,998 Объем
<1%
Паулу Роша
$2,980 Объем
<1%
Дирсеу Тен Катен
$2,985 Объем
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing at 65.5% amid her broad coalition “O Pará tá junto” that includes MDB, PT, PSD, and others. Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former Ananindeua mayor and main challenger, sits at 34% as the clearest alternative in a field of minor candidates. Recent polling has been mixed, with a mid-September Veritá survey showing Daniel ahead in the first round while earlier Quaest data indicated a tighter contest. Traders appear to weigh Hana’s incumbency, party infrastructure, and policy announcements on health, education, and social programs more heavily than single polls, with the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff as key resolution triggers.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Объем
$49,152Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing at 65.5% amid her broad coalition “O Pará tá junto” that includes MDB, PT, PSD, and others. Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former Ananindeua mayor and main challenger, sits at 34% as the clearest alternative in a field of minor candidates. Recent polling has been mixed, with a mid-September Veritá survey showing Daniel ahead in the first round while earlier Quaest data indicated a tighter contest. Traders appear to weigh Hana’s incumbency, party infrastructure, and policy announcements on health, education, and social programs more heavily than single polls, with the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff as key resolution triggers.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$49,152Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing at 65.5% amid her broad coalition “O Pará tá junto” that includes MDB, PT, PSD, and others. Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), the former Ananindeua mayor and main challenger, sits at 34% as the clearest alternative in a field of minor candidates. Recent polling has been mixed, with a mid-September Veritá survey showing Daniel ahead in the first round while earlier Quaest data indicated a tighter contest. Traders appear to weigh Hana’s incumbency, party infrastructure, and policy announcements on health, education, and social programs more heavily than single polls, with the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff as key resolution triggers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы