Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, while João Campos of the PSB trails. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys show the two in a technical tie in the low-to-mid 40s, within margins of error, with minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes and Renan Hallais registering low single digits. Lyra’s position draws from her 2022 victory as the state’s first woman governor and her record managing state priorities, while Campos benefits from strong name recognition as former Recife mayor and ties to the PSB’s established political network. With a possible runoff on October 25 if no majority is reached, the close contest and limited remaining campaign window keep probabilities fluid based on final voter mobilization and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРаакель Лира 64%
Жоау Кампус 37%
Иван Мораэс <1%
$49,065 Объем
$49,065 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Раакель Лира
63%
Жоау Кампус
37%
Иван Мораэс
<1%
Раакель Лира 64%
Жоау Кампус 37%
Иван Мораэс <1%
$49,065 Объем
$49,065 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Раакель Лира
$23,023 Объем
63%
Жоау Кампус
$20,683 Объем
37%
Иван Мораэс
$5,359 Объем
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, while João Campos of the PSB trails. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys show the two in a technical tie in the low-to-mid 40s, within margins of error, with minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes and Renan Hallais registering low single digits. Lyra’s position draws from her 2022 victory as the state’s first woman governor and her record managing state priorities, while Campos benefits from strong name recognition as former Recife mayor and ties to the PSB’s established political network. With a possible runoff on October 25 if no majority is reached, the close contest and limited remaining campaign window keep probabilities fluid based on final voter mobilization and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Объем
$49,065Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, while João Campos of the PSB trails. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys show the two in a technical tie in the low-to-mid 40s, within margins of error, with minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes and Renan Hallais registering low single digits. Lyra’s position draws from her 2022 victory as the state’s first woman governor and her record managing state priorities, while Campos benefits from strong name recognition as former Recife mayor and ties to the PSB’s established political network. With a possible runoff on October 25 if no majority is reached, the close contest and limited remaining campaign window keep probabilities fluid based on final voter mobilization and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$49,065Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, holds a leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 4 first round, while João Campos of the PSB trails. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys show the two in a technical tie in the low-to-mid 40s, within margins of error, with minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes and Renan Hallais registering low single digits. Lyra’s position draws from her 2022 victory as the state’s first woman governor and her record managing state priorities, while Campos benefits from strong name recognition as former Recife mayor and ties to the PSB’s established political network. With a possible runoff on October 25 if no majority is reached, the close contest and limited remaining campaign window keep probabilities fluid based on final voter mobilization and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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