Flavio Bolsonaro’s July 2026 confirmation as the Liberal Party presidential nominee has left his vice-presidential selection unresolved, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered among a broad field of PL federal deputies and former officials. Trader consensus reflects ongoing internal negotiations and repeated setbacks in recruiting higher-profile figures, including unsuccessful overtures to centrist allies such as Tereza Cristina. With the October general election approaching and no single name consolidating support, market prices for leading options like Rogério Marinho, Simone Marquetto, and Marcos Pontes remain in the mid-30s percent range, while numerous other names sit near 50 percent. Any formal announcement, party convention decision, or shift in coalition dynamics could rapidly separate the field before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРожерио Мариньо 39%
Симоне Маркетто 37%
Маркус Понтес 36%
Даниэлла Маркес 36%
Рожерио Мариньо
39%
Симоне Маркетто
37%
Маркус Понтес
36%
Даниэлла Маркес
36%
Жулия Занатта
36%
Присцила Коста
36%
Кларисса Тёрси
35%
Мишель Болсонару
6%
Тереза Кристина
35%
Дамарес Алвес
36%
Рената Абреу
35%
Гилсон Мачадо
35%
Биа Кисини
37%
Росана Валле
34%
Рожерио Мариньо 39%
Симоне Маркетто 37%
Маркус Понтес 36%
Даниэлла Маркес 36%
Рожерио Мариньо
39%
Симоне Маркетто
37%
Маркус Понтес
36%
Даниэлла Маркес
36%
Жулия Занатта
36%
Присцила Коста
36%
Кларисса Тёрси
35%
Мишель Болсонару
6%
Тереза Кристина
35%
Дамарес Алвес
36%
Рената Абреу
35%
Гилсон Мачадо
35%
Биа Кисини
37%
Росана Валле
34%
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro’s July 2026 confirmation as the Liberal Party presidential nominee has left his vice-presidential selection unresolved, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered among a broad field of PL federal deputies and former officials. Trader consensus reflects ongoing internal negotiations and repeated setbacks in recruiting higher-profile figures, including unsuccessful overtures to centrist allies such as Tereza Cristina. With the October general election approaching and no single name consolidating support, market prices for leading options like Rogério Marinho, Simone Marquetto, and Marcos Pontes remain in the mid-30s percent range, while numerous other names sit near 50 percent. Any formal announcement, party convention decision, or shift in coalition dynamics could rapidly separate the field before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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