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icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Политика·Бразилия

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Политика·Бразилия

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco 57%

Juliana Brizola 32%

Gabriel Souza 2.8%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$102,849 Объем

Luciano Zucco 57%

Juliana Brizola 32%

Gabriel Souza 2.8%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$102,849 Объем

Luciano Zucco

$46,599 Объем

57%

Juliana Brizola

$35,625 Объем

32%

Gabriel Souza

$10,508 Объем

3%

Marcelo Maranata

$7,151 Объем

1%

Luis Carlos Heinze

$2,966 Объем

<1%

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul governor race in the latest Real Time Big Data survey with 36% to Juliana Brizola’s (PDT) 35% in the first round, within the margin of error, while Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 22%. The contest remains closely contested ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff, with both frontrunners drawing strong support from their respective ideological bases and coalitions. Zucco benefits from right-leaning consolidation and emphasis on state debt renegotiation, flood recovery funding, and federal ties, while Brizola leverages her PDT-PT alliance and focus on social issues. Souza’s distant third-place standing reflects limited momentum despite incumbent backing. These polling trends and campaign positioning underpin traders’ current assessment of Zucco’s stronger implied probability.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$102,849
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul governor race in the latest Real Time Big Data survey with 36% to Juliana Brizola’s (PDT) 35% in the first round, within the margin of error, while Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 22%. The contest remains closely contested ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff, with both frontrunners drawing strong support from their respective ideological bases and coalitions. Zucco benefits from right-leaning consolidation and emphasis on state debt renegotiation, flood recovery funding, and federal ties, while Brizola leverages her PDT-PT alliance and focus on social issues. Souza’s distant third-place standing reflects limited momentum despite incumbent backing. These polling trends and campaign positioning underpin traders’ current assessment of Zucco’s stronger implied probability.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$102,849
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Luciano Zucco» с 57%, за ним следует «Juliana Brizola» с 32%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 57¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 57%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $102.8K с момента запуска рынка May 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» — «Luciano Zucco» с 57%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 57%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Juliana Brizola» с 32%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.