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Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул

Эдуарду Ридел 71%

Жеферсон Безерра 21%

Экономист Ренато Гомес 18.3%

Жоау Энрике Катан 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Эдуарду Ридел 71%

Жеферсон Безерра 21%

Экономист Ренато Гомес 18.3%

Жоау Энрике Катан 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Эдуарду Ридел

Эдуарду Ридел

$181 Объем

72%

icon for Жеферсон Безерра

Жеферсон Безерра

$72 Объем

21%

icon for Экономист Ренато Гомес

Экономист Ренато Гомес

$119 Объем

18%

icon for Жоау Энрике Катан

Жоау Энрике Катан

$72 Объем

28%

icon for Дельсидио Амарал

Дельсидио Амарал

$72 Объем

25%

icon for Фабио Трад

Фабио Трад

$72 Объем

23%

icon for Даниэл Лемес

Даниэл Лемес

$72 Объем

22%

icon for Люсьен Резенде

Люсьен Резенде

$92 Объем

34%

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent PP governor of Mato Grosso do Sul, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, election due to his strong polling averages near 46-54% and established incumbency advantages. Recent surveys from July and August 2026 confirm his lead over challengers including Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), Delcídio do Amaral (PRD), and others such as Daniel Lemes and Jeferson Bezerra. Trader consensus reflects Riedel's access to state resources, favorable approval ratings after three-plus years in office, and limited effective opposition consolidation ahead of the first-round vote. Upcoming candidate registration finalization and any late polling shifts remain key variables that could influence implied probabilities.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$752
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent PP governor of Mato Grosso do Sul, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, election due to his strong polling averages near 46-54% and established incumbency advantages. Recent surveys from July and August 2026 confirm his lead over challengers including Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), Delcídio do Amaral (PRD), and others such as Daniel Lemes and Jeferson Bezerra. Trader consensus reflects Riedel's access to state resources, favorable approval ratings after three-plus years in office, and limited effective opposition consolidation ahead of the first-round vote. Upcoming candidate registration finalization and any late polling shifts remain key variables that could influence implied probabilities.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$752
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Отавияну Пиветта выборы губернатора Мату-Гросу в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Отавияну Пиветта выборы губернатора Мату-Гросу в 2026 году?

45%
Да
icon for Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

61%
icon for Получит ли Даниэл Жуниор больше всего голосов на выборах в Сенат штата Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул 2026 года?

Получит ли Даниэл Жуниор больше всего голосов на выборах в Сенат штата Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул 2026 года?

44%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Эдуарду Ридел» с 72%, за ним следует «Люсьен Резенде» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 72¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 72%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов губернатора Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул» — «Эдуарду Ридел» с 72%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 72%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Люсьен Резенде» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.