Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the strongest position in the 2026 Senate race due to consistent polling leads and recent campaign momentum. An August 2026 Real Time Big Data survey placed him at 30% first-round voting intention, ahead of Capitão Contar (PL), Nelsinho Trad (PSD), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya Thronicke (PSB). Azambuja’s switch to the PL party, endorsements from state allies including Governor Eduardo Riedel, and early campaign events have reinforced trader views of his frontrunner status. Lower-priced contenders face structural hurdles such as fragmented opposition and limited name recognition outside core bases. The market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on these dynamics ahead of the October vote, with resolution tied to official first-place vote totals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРейналду Азамбужа 68%
Вандер Лубет 12%
Бето ду Мовименто 9.0%
Роберто Оширо 8%

Рейналду Азамбужа
73%

Вандер Лубет
12%

Бето ду Мовименто
9%

Роберто Оширо
8%

Вальтер да Комагран
8%

Валдери Гарсия
7%

Сорайя
6%

Капитан Контар
5%

Даниэл Жуниор
5%

Луис Лемес
4%
Рейналду Азамбужа 68%
Вандер Лубет 12%
Бето ду Мовименто 9.0%
Роберто Оширо 8%

Рейналду Азамбужа
73%

Вандер Лубет
12%

Бето ду Мовименто
9%

Роберто Оширо
8%

Вальтер да Комагран
8%

Валдери Гарсия
7%

Сорайя
6%

Капитан Контар
5%

Даниэл Жуниор
5%

Луис Лемес
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the strongest position in the 2026 Senate race due to consistent polling leads and recent campaign momentum. An August 2026 Real Time Big Data survey placed him at 30% first-round voting intention, ahead of Capitão Contar (PL), Nelsinho Trad (PSD), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya Thronicke (PSB). Azambuja’s switch to the PL party, endorsements from state allies including Governor Eduardo Riedel, and early campaign events have reinforced trader views of his frontrunner status. Lower-priced contenders face structural hurdles such as fragmented opposition and limited name recognition outside core bases. The market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on these dynamics ahead of the October vote, with resolution tied to official first-place vote totals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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