Mexico’s 2027 legislative election for the full Chamber of Deputies remains more than a year away, leaving the contest for second place among opposition parties fluid. Morena’s commanding position after its 2024 victories and sustained support under President Claudia Sheinbaum has concentrated trader focus on which smaller party—PRI, PT, MC, PVEM, or PAN—will finish ahead of the others. Recent polling shows these groups clustered in the low-to-mid teens nationally, with no single opposition force pulling decisively ahead amid fragmented alliances and limited differentiation on key issues such as security and economic policy. The close implied probabilities reflect this uncertainty, as modest shifts in regional strength, candidate selection, or coalition talks could reorder the field before mid-2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PVEM 83%
PRI 45%
MC 44%
PT 42%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 июн. 2027 г.
PAN
-
PRI
45%
PT
42%
PVEM
83%
MC
44%
Morena
2%
PVEM 83%
PRI 45%
MC 44%
PT 42%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 июн. 2027 г.
PAN
$96 Объем
-
PRI
$1 Объем
45%
PT
$1 Объем
42%
PVEM
$1 Объем
83%
MC
$1 Объем
44%
Morena
$148 Объем
2%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Mexico’s 2027 legislative election for the full Chamber of Deputies remains more than a year away, leaving the contest for second place among opposition parties fluid. Morena’s commanding position after its 2024 victories and sustained support under President Claudia Sheinbaum has concentrated trader focus on which smaller party—PRI, PT, MC, PVEM, or PAN—will finish ahead of the others. Recent polling shows these groups clustered in the low-to-mid teens nationally, with no single opposition force pulling decisively ahead amid fragmented alliances and limited differentiation on key issues such as security and economic policy. The close implied probabilities reflect this uncertainty, as modest shifts in regional strength, candidate selection, or coalition talks could reorder the field before mid-2027.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Объем
$249Дата окончания
6 июн. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Mexico’s 2027 legislative election for the full Chamber of Deputies remains more than a year away, leaving the contest for second place among opposition parties fluid. Morena’s commanding position after its 2024 victories and sustained support under President Claudia Sheinbaum has concentrated trader focus on which smaller party—PRI, PT, MC, PVEM, or PAN—will finish ahead of the others. Recent polling shows these groups clustered in the low-to-mid teens nationally, with no single opposition force pulling decisively ahead amid fragmented alliances and limited differentiation on key issues such as security and economic policy. The close implied probabilities reflect this uncertainty, as modest shifts in regional strength, candidate selection, or coalition talks could reorder the field before mid-2027.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Объем
$249Дата окончания
6 июн. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico’s 2027 legislative election for the full Chamber of Deputies remains more than a year away, leaving the contest for second place among opposition parties fluid. Morena’s commanding position after its 2024 victories and sustained support under President Claudia Sheinbaum has concentrated trader focus on which smaller party—PRI, PT, MC, PVEM, or PAN—will finish ahead of the others. Recent polling shows these groups clustered in the low-to-mid teens nationally, with no single opposition force pulling decisively ahead amid fragmented alliances and limited differentiation on key issues such as security and economic policy. The close implied probabilities reflect this uncertainty, as modest shifts in regional strength, candidate selection, or coalition talks could reorder the field before mid-2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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