Trader sentiment on the Guerrero gubernatorial race reflects the competitive internal selection process within the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition for the 2027 election, where the eventual nominee is expected to hold a strong advantage given the party's polling lead of 43-52%. June 2026 registrations drew a record 16 aspirants, with Beatriz Mojica Morga and Esthela Damián Peralta emerging as the closest contenders in early surveys, followed by Karen Castrejón Trujillo and others like Manuel Añorve Baños from the PRI. Recent polling within Morena shows Mojica ahead but with Damián close behind, while undecided voters and coalition dynamics keep separation limited. Upcoming surveys and coalition decisions through late 2026 could shift probabilities among the field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBeatriz Mojica Morga 37.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 35.9%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo 11.2%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.5%
$30,925 Объем
$30,925 Объем

Beatriz Mojica Morga
37%

Esthela Damián Peralta
36%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo
11%

Mario Moreno Arcos
5%

Manuel Añorve Baños
4%

Guadalupe Eguiluz
3%

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
2%

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
2%

Javier Saldaña Almazán
2%

Alberto López Rosas
1%

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
1%

Erika Lorena Lührs
1%

Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%

Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%

Iván Hernández Díaz
1%

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
1%

Julián López Galeana
1%

Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%

Héctor Astudillo Flores
1%

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%

Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%

Rubén Cayetano García
<1%

Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%

Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%

Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%

Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 37.1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 35.9%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo 11.2%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.5%
$30,925 Объем
$30,925 Объем

Beatriz Mojica Morga
37%

Esthela Damián Peralta
36%

Karen Castrejón Trujillo
11%

Mario Moreno Arcos
5%

Manuel Añorve Baños
4%

Guadalupe Eguiluz
3%

Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
2%

Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
2%

Javier Saldaña Almazán
2%

Alberto López Rosas
1%

Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
1%

Erika Lorena Lührs
1%

Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%

Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%

Iván Hernández Díaz
1%

Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
1%

Julián López Galeana
1%

Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%

Héctor Astudillo Flores
1%

Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%

Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%

Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%

Rubén Cayetano García
<1%

Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%

Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%

Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%

Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%

Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the Guerrero gubernatorial race reflects the competitive internal selection process within the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition for the 2027 election, where the eventual nominee is expected to hold a strong advantage given the party's polling lead of 43-52%. June 2026 registrations drew a record 16 aspirants, with Beatriz Mojica Morga and Esthela Damián Peralta emerging as the closest contenders in early surveys, followed by Karen Castrejón Trujillo and others like Manuel Añorve Baños from the PRI. Recent polling within Morena shows Mojica ahead but with Damián close behind, while undecided voters and coalition dynamics keep separation limited. Upcoming surveys and coalition decisions through late 2026 could shift probabilities among the field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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