Multiple repeal bills, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have received bipartisan backing since early 2026 but repeatedly stalled in committee or via procedural blocks in the House Rules Committee. The 90% cap originated in a Senate amendment to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 and took effect for tax year 2026, creating phantom income for break-even gamblers. An IRS hearing in July 2026 drew testimony favoring restoration of full deductibility, and industry figures like Dana White have urged executive action, yet no floor votes or reconciliation vehicles have advanced the change. Traders price the low probability of passage before December 31, 2026, reflecting legislative gridlock and competing priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
18% вероятность
$71,482 Объем
$71,482 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
18% вероятность
$71,482 Объем
$71,482 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Multiple repeal bills, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have received bipartisan backing since early 2026 but repeatedly stalled in committee or via procedural blocks in the House Rules Committee. The 90% cap originated in a Senate amendment to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 and took effect for tax year 2026, creating phantom income for break-even gamblers. An IRS hearing in July 2026 drew testimony favoring restoration of full deductibility, and industry figures like Dana White have urged executive action, yet no floor votes or reconciliation vehicles have advanced the change. Traders price the low probability of passage before December 31, 2026, reflecting legislative gridlock and competing priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Объем
$71,482Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Multiple repeal bills, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have received bipartisan backing since early 2026 but repeatedly stalled in committee or via procedural blocks in the House Rules Committee. The 90% cap originated in a Senate amendment to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 and took effect for tax year 2026, creating phantom income for break-even gamblers. An IRS hearing in July 2026 drew testimony favoring restoration of full deductibility, and industry figures like Dana White have urged executive action, yet no floor votes or reconciliation vehicles have advanced the change. Traders price the low probability of passage before December 31, 2026, reflecting legislative gridlock and competing priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$71,482Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Multiple repeal bills, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have received bipartisan backing since early 2026 but repeatedly stalled in committee or via procedural blocks in the House Rules Committee. The 90% cap originated in a Senate amendment to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 and took effect for tax year 2026, creating phantom income for break-even gamblers. An IRS hearing in July 2026 drew testimony favoring restoration of full deductibility, and industry figures like Dana White have urged executive action, yet no floor votes or reconciliation vehicles have advanced the change. Traders price the low probability of passage before December 31, 2026, reflecting legislative gridlock and competing priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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