Recent sharp declines in WTI crude futures, now trading near $81–84 per barrel after dropping over 4% on June 14, reflect trader focus on easing geopolitical risks tied to U.S.-Iran negotiations and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Supply disruptions have already drawn global inventories sharply lower, with EIA models projecting Brent near $105 in June–July under closed-strait assumptions, yet forward-looking sentiment has shifted lower amid reports of demand destruction and possible deal progress. Market-implied odds for end-of-June levels will hinge on near-term diplomatic developments, any OPEC+ responses, and weekly inventory releases, as the contract period ends in roughly two weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСырая нефть (CL) выше ___ в конце июня?
$137,918 Объем
$90
31%
$85
28%
$80
74%
$75
82%
$70
93%
$65
95%
$63
94%
$60
97%
$56
98%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$137,918 Объем
$90
31%
$85
28%
$80
74%
$75
82%
$70
93%
$65
95%
$63
94%
$60
97%
$56
98%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent sharp declines in WTI crude futures, now trading near $81–84 per barrel after dropping over 4% on June 14, reflect trader focus on easing geopolitical risks tied to U.S.-Iran negotiations and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Supply disruptions have already drawn global inventories sharply lower, with EIA models projecting Brent near $105 in June–July under closed-strait assumptions, yet forward-looking sentiment has shifted lower amid reports of demand destruction and possible deal progress. Market-implied odds for end-of-June levels will hinge on near-term diplomatic developments, any OPEC+ responses, and weekly inventory releases, as the contract period ends in roughly two weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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