Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability following the September 10 CMA nominations, where it earned nods alongside her second single "Be Her" for the first dual Single of the Year placement by a lead artist in years. The track's record-tying 22 weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, extended country chart dominance, and prior ACM Single of the Year win have built overwhelming momentum among voters and bettors. Lainey Wilson's "Somewhere Over Laredo" and Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" sit in the low teens amid solid but less dominant chart runs, while Cody Johnson's "The Fall" trails at under 2%. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, guild and precursor signals could still influence late shifts in this female-heavy field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСингл года CMA 2026
Choosin' Texas (Элла Лэнгли) 70%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Лейни Уилсон) 10%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Тейлор Свифт) 9%
Be Her (Элла Лэнгли) 4.1%
Choosin' Texas (Элла Лэнгли)
70%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Лейни Уилсон)
12%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Тейлор Свифт)
9%
Be Her (Элла Лэнгли)
4%
The Fall (Коди Джонсон)
2%
Choosin' Texas (Элла Лэнгли) 70%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Лейни Уилсон) 10%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Тейлор Свифт) 9%
Be Her (Элла Лэнгли) 4.1%
Choosin' Texas (Элла Лэнгли)
70%
Somewhere Over Laredo (Лейни Уилсон)
12%
I Knew It, I Knew You (Тейлор Свифт)
9%
Be Her (Элла Лэнгли)
4%
The Fall (Коди Джонсон)
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability following the September 10 CMA nominations, where it earned nods alongside her second single "Be Her" for the first dual Single of the Year placement by a lead artist in years. The track's record-tying 22 weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, extended country chart dominance, and prior ACM Single of the Year win have built overwhelming momentum among voters and bettors. Lainey Wilson's "Somewhere Over Laredo" and Taylor Swift's "I Knew It, I Knew You" sit in the low teens amid solid but less dominant chart runs, while Cody Johnson's "The Fall" trails at under 2%. With the November 18 ceremony approaching, guild and precursor signals could still influence late shifts in this female-heavy field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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