Voter turnout in Delaware’s Senate election shows high uncertainty, with probabilities clustered tightly around multiple vote total brackets. In this solidly Democratic state, baseline participation typically hinges on historical patterns from prior midterm cycles, steady voter registration growth, and the degree of national political engagement driving mobilization by both parties. Limited early indicators, including the absence of highly competitive dynamics or major campaign events, leave forecasts sensitive to factors such as early voting volume, absentee ballot trends, and election-day conditions. The even distribution of trader positions across ranges underscores that no single development has yet emerged to narrow expectations, though upcoming candidate announcements or shifts in broader electoral enthusiasm could introduce separation before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<275К 44%
300К–325К 44%
325К–350К 44%
375К-400К 44%
<275К
44%
275К–300К
41%
300К–325К
44%
325К–350К
44%
350К–375К
39%
375К-400К
44%
400К-425К
44%
425К–450К
42%
450К–475К
44%
475 тыс.+
41%
<275К 44%
300К–325К 44%
325К–350К 44%
375К-400К 44%
<275К
44%
275К–300К
41%
300К–325К
44%
325К–350К
44%
350К–375К
39%
375К-400К
44%
400К-425К
44%
425К–450К
42%
450К–475К
44%
475 тыс.+
41%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Voter turnout in Delaware’s Senate election shows high uncertainty, with probabilities clustered tightly around multiple vote total brackets. In this solidly Democratic state, baseline participation typically hinges on historical patterns from prior midterm cycles, steady voter registration growth, and the degree of national political engagement driving mobilization by both parties. Limited early indicators, including the absence of highly competitive dynamics or major campaign events, leave forecasts sensitive to factors such as early voting volume, absentee ballot trends, and election-day conditions. The even distribution of trader positions across ranges underscores that no single development has yet emerged to narrow expectations, though upcoming candidate announcements or shifts in broader electoral enthusiasm could introduce separation before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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