Manchester City's 81% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in this FA Cup semi-final at Wembley stems from their unbeaten run in 18 matches, including seven straight wins and a 4-0 quarter-final demolition of Liverpool, underscoring superior firepower led by Erling Haaland despite key defensive absences—Rúben Dias, John Stones, Joško Gvardiol, and Nico O'Reilly sidelined by injuries reported over the past week. Sitting second in the Premier League table with 64 points and +35 goal difference after 31 games, City hold a dominant 18-4 head-to-head edge over Southampton. The Saints' recent 3-0 league win versus Blackburn and shock quarter-final upset over leaders Arsenal provide momentum, yet their mid-table position and injuries to Alex McCarthy and others limit upset chances to 6.5%, with a 12% draw reflecting semi-final caution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIf Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Открытие рынка: Apr 6, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.thefa.com/competitions/thefacupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Открытие рынка: Apr 6, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.thefa.com/competitions/thefacupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Manchester City's 81% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in this FA Cup semi-final at Wembley stems from their unbeaten run in 18 matches, including seven straight wins and a 4-0 quarter-final demolition of Liverpool, underscoring superior firepower led by Erling Haaland despite key defensive absences—Rúben Dias, John Stones, Joško Gvardiol, and Nico O'Reilly sidelined by injuries reported over the past week. Sitting second in the Premier League table with 64 points and +35 goal difference after 31 games, City hold a dominant 18-4 head-to-head edge over Southampton. The Saints' recent 3-0 league win versus Blackburn and shock quarter-final upset over leaders Arsenal provide momentum, yet their mid-table position and injuries to Alex McCarthy and others limit upset chances to 6.5%, with a 12% draw reflecting semi-final caution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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