Latest KNMI forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 17°C in the Amsterdam area on April 18 amid light showers, 70% precipitation chance, and partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds limiting insolation. However, trader consensus on Polymarket favors 15°C (31%) and 14°C (28%), reflecting ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS that cluster means around 14-15°C due to persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating by 2-3°C below clear-sky potential. Differentiating factors include shower timing—early morning clearing could push toward 16°C, while afternoon overcast favors 13-14°C—against April climatology where similar setups average 12-13°C highs. New 12Z model runs on April 17 will refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
15°C 31%
14°C 28%
16°C 18%
13°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
11%
13°C
18%
14°C
28%
15°C
31%
16°C
22%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 31%
14°C 28%
16°C 18%
13°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$234 Объем
1%
11°C
$180 Объем
2%
12°C
$49 Объем
11%
13°C
$37 Объем
18%
14°C
$40 Объем
28%
15°C
$18 Объем
31%
16°C
$95 Объем
22%
17°C
$235 Объем
3%
18°C
$113 Объем
3%
19°C
$209 Объем
1%
20°C or higher
$241 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 17°C in the Amsterdam area on April 18 amid light showers, 70% precipitation chance, and partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds limiting insolation. However, trader consensus on Polymarket favors 15°C (31%) and 14°C (28%), reflecting ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS that cluster means around 14-15°C due to persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating by 2-3°C below clear-sky potential. Differentiating factors include shower timing—early morning clearing could push toward 16°C, while afternoon overcast favors 13-14°C—against April climatology where similar setups average 12-13°C highs. New 12Z model runs on April 17 will refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Объем
$1,430Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 17°C in the Amsterdam area on April 18 amid light showers, 70% precipitation chance, and partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds limiting insolation. However, trader consensus on Polymarket favors 15°C (31%) and 14°C (28%), reflecting ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS that cluster means around 14-15°C due to persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating by 2-3°C below clear-sky potential. Differentiating factors include shower timing—early morning clearing could push toward 16°C, while afternoon overcast favors 13-14°C—against April climatology where similar setups average 12-13°C highs. New 12Z model runs on April 17 will refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,430Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest KNMI forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 17°C in the Amsterdam area on April 18 amid light showers, 70% precipitation chance, and partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds limiting insolation. However, trader consensus on Polymarket favors 15°C (31%) and 14°C (28%), reflecting ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS that cluster means around 14-15°C due to persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating by 2-3°C below clear-sky potential. Differentiating factors include shower timing—early morning clearing could push toward 16°C, while afternoon overcast favors 13-14°C—against April climatology where similar setups average 12-13°C highs. New 12Z model runs on April 17 will refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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