Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 18 июля?
19°C 100.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$70,854 Объем
$70,854 Объем
16°C или ниже
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Да
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C или выше
Нет
19°C 100.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$70,854 Объем
$70,854 Объем
16°C или ниже
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Да
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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