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Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?

12°C or higher 88%

11°C 8%

10°C 1.3%

9°C 1.0%

Polymarket

$28,824 Объем

12°C or higher 88%

11°C 8%

10°C 1.3%

9°C 1.0%

Polymarket

$28,824 Объем

2°C or below

$3,844 Объем

<1%

3°C

$3,500 Объем

<1%

4°C

$3,432 Объем

<1%

5°C

$3,287 Объем

<1%

6°C

$3,323 Объем

<1%

7°C

$3,453 Объем

<1%

8°C

$2,457 Объем

<1%

9°C

$1,458 Объем

1%

10°C

$1,309 Объем

1%

11°C

$1,038 Объем

8%

12°C or higher

$1,722 Объем

88%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C or higher at 87% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature on April 4, driven by tight clustering in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 15–16°C, corroborated by AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light NNW winds around 9 km/h. Today's April 3 observations align with similar mild conditions peaking near 16°C amid passing showers, reflecting continental spring patterns where early April highs typically average 14–17°C per historical climatology. Minimal model spread rules out sub-12°C outcomes barring an unforeseen northerly cold surge, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly updates resolving via Esenboğa Airport observations for final confirmation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$28,824
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C or higher at 87% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature on April 4, driven by tight clustering in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 15–16°C, corroborated by AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light NNW winds around 9 km/h. Today's April 3 observations align with similar mild conditions peaking near 16°C amid passing showers, reflecting continental spring patterns where early April highs typically average 14–17°C per historical climatology. Minimal model spread rules out sub-12°C outcomes barring an unforeseen northerly cold surge, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly updates resolving via Esenboğa Airport observations for final confirmation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$28,824
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «12°C or higher» с 88%, за ним следует «11°C» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 88¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 88%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $28.8K с момента запуска рынка Mar 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?» — «12°C or higher» с 88%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 88%. Следующий ближайший исход — «11°C» с 8%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.