Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C or higher at 87% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature on April 4, driven by tight clustering in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 15–16°C, corroborated by AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light NNW winds around 9 km/h. Today's April 3 observations align with similar mild conditions peaking near 16°C amid passing showers, reflecting continental spring patterns where early April highs typically average 14–17°C per historical climatology. Minimal model spread rules out sub-12°C outcomes barring an unforeseen northerly cold surge, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly updates resolving via Esenboğa Airport observations for final confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
12°C or higher 88%
11°C 8%
10°C 1.3%
9°C 1.0%
$28,824 Объем
$28,824 Объем
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
88%
12°C or higher 88%
11°C 8%
10°C 1.3%
9°C 1.0%
$28,824 Объем
$28,824 Объем
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C or higher at 87% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature on April 4, driven by tight clustering in the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 15–16°C, corroborated by AccuWeather and timeanddate.com guidance showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light NNW winds around 9 km/h. Today's April 3 observations align with similar mild conditions peaking near 16°C amid passing showers, reflecting continental spring patterns where early April highs typically average 14–17°C per historical climatology. Minimal model spread rules out sub-12°C outcomes barring an unforeseen northerly cold surge, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly updates resolving via Esenboğa Airport observations for final confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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