Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 1 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Анкаре 1 августа?
28°C 41%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
26°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
41%
29°C
26%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 41%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
26°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$337 Объем
<1%
24°C
$301 Объем
<1%
25°C
$15 Объем
2%
26°C
$301 Объем
6%
27°C
$123 Объем
18%
28°C
$286 Объем
41%
29°C
$92 Объем
26%
30°C
$71 Объем
3%
31°C
$128 Объем
3%
32°C
$23 Объем
2%
33°C or higher
$10 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$1,685Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,685Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы