Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 15 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 15 июля?
38°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$98,796 Объем
$98,796 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$98,796 Объем
$98,796 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
31°C or below
$1,053 Объем
No
32°C
$15,361 Объем
No
33°C
$4,835 Объем
No
34°C
$3,951 Объем
No
35°C
$7,277 Объем
No
36°C
$7,156 Объем
No
37°C
$22,399 Объем
No
38°C
$9,580 Объем
Yes
39°C
$12,566 Объем
No
40°C
$9,582 Объем
No
41°C or higher
$5,036 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$98,796Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$98,796Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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