Trader consensus favoring a 14°C high for Buenos Aires on August 9 reflects the latest forecast model runs from regional and global ensembles, which show modest warming from a recent cold-air intrusion but limited daytime recovery under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Typical August climatology supports highs near 15–17°C, yet current conditions align with slightly below-average readings amid developing El Niño influences that have produced mixed Southern Hemisphere winter signals. Nearby analogs, including the August 7 market where 13–14°C outcomes dominated amid similar model spread, underscore the narrow uncertainty range. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 9 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 9 августа?
14°C 58%
13°C 23%
15°C 12%
12°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
23%
14°C
58%
15°C
12%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
2%
14°C 58%
13°C 23%
15°C 12%
12°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$46 Объем
<1%
9°C
$46 Объем
<1%
10°C
$12 Объем
2%
11°C
$12 Объем
4%
12°C
$51 Объем
5%
13°C
$160 Объем
23%
14°C
$66 Объем
58%
15°C
$54 Объем
12%
16°C
$31 Объем
2%
17°C
$62 Объем
2%
18°C or higher
$33 Объем
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring a 14°C high for Buenos Aires on August 9 reflects the latest forecast model runs from regional and global ensembles, which show modest warming from a recent cold-air intrusion but limited daytime recovery under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Typical August climatology supports highs near 15–17°C, yet current conditions align with slightly below-average readings amid developing El Niño influences that have produced mixed Southern Hemisphere winter signals. Nearby analogs, including the August 7 market where 13–14°C outcomes dominated amid similar model spread, underscore the narrow uncertainty range. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$322Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring a 14°C high for Buenos Aires on August 9 reflects the latest forecast model runs from regional and global ensembles, which show modest warming from a recent cold-air intrusion but limited daytime recovery under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Typical August climatology supports highs near 15–17°C, yet current conditions align with slightly below-average readings amid developing El Niño influences that have produced mixed Southern Hemisphere winter signals. Nearby analogs, including the August 7 market where 13–14°C outcomes dominated amid similar model spread, underscore the narrow uncertainty range. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$322Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favoring a 14°C high for Buenos Aires on August 9 reflects the latest forecast model runs from regional and global ensembles, which show modest warming from a recent cold-air intrusion but limited daytime recovery under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Typical August climatology supports highs near 15–17°C, yet current conditions align with slightly below-average readings amid developing El Niño influences that have produced mixed Southern Hemisphere winter signals. Nearby analogs, including the August 7 market where 13–14°C outcomes dominated amid similar model spread, underscore the narrow uncertainty range. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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