**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 12?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 12?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,461 Объем
$33,461 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,461 Объем
$33,461 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
$1,435 Объем
No
13°C
$1,515 Объем
No
14°C
$2,014 Объем
No
15°C
$1,312 Объем
No
16°C
$8,191 Объем
No
17°C
$4,164 Объем
No
18°C
$4,936 Объем
Yes
19°C
$3,493 Объем
No
20°C
$2,771 Объем
No
21°C
$2,395 Объем
No
22°C or higher
$1,235 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Объем
$33,461Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$33,461Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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