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Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?

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Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?

апр. 16

апр. 17

апр. 18

апр. 16

апр. 17

апр. 18

29°C 30%

28°C 26%

27°C 21%

30°C 20%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

29°C 30%

28°C 26%

27°C 21%

30°C 20%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

22°C or below

$574 Объем

<1%

23°C

$352 Объем

1%

24°C

$681 Объем

1%

25°C

$130 Объем

4%

26°C

$206 Объем

7%

27°C

$12 Объем

21%

28°C

$12 Объем

23%

29°C

$27 Объем

30%

30°C

$4 Объем

20%

31°C

$65 Объем

9%

32°C or higher

$127 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest multi-model forecasts, including CustomWeather and China Meteorological Administration projections, indicate a maximum temperature near 29°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on April 18, under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 29.5% implied probability. This reflects a warming trend from recent days—April 16 highs around 25°C rising amid southerly winds advecting warmer air into the Sichuan Basin—yet genuine uncertainty persists due to frequent low-level temperature inversions and persistent cloud cover that limit insolation and cap peaks at 27-28°C in similar historical April setups averaging 24°C. Differentiating factors include cloud fraction variability across GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with clearer skies potentially boosting to 30°C+ while overcast conditions favor lower outcomes; new model runs overnight could refine this ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,159
Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest multi-model forecasts, including CustomWeather and China Meteorological Administration projections, indicate a maximum temperature near 29°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on April 18, under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 29.5% implied probability. This reflects a warming trend from recent days—April 16 highs around 25°C rising amid southerly winds advecting warmer air into the Sichuan Basin—yet genuine uncertainty persists due to frequent low-level temperature inversions and persistent cloud cover that limit insolation and cap peaks at 27-28°C in similar historical April setups averaging 24°C. Differentiating factors include cloud fraction variability across GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with clearer skies potentially boosting to 30°C+ while overcast conditions favor lower outcomes; new model runs overnight could refine this ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,159
Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «29°C» с 30%, за ним следует «28°C» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 30¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 16, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?» — «29°C» с 30%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Следующий ближайший исход — «28°C» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.