Short-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 13 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 13 июля?
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$48,943 Объем
$48,943 Объем
13 июл. 2026 г.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$48,943 Объем
$48,943 Объем
13 июл. 2026 г.
32°C or below
$2,633 Объем
No
33°C
$1,954 Объем
No
34°C
$1,866 Объем
No
35°C
$3,778 Объем
No
36°C
$4,967 Объем
No
37°C
$5,121 Объем
No
38°C
$9,456 Объем
Yes
39°C
$6,951 Объем
No
40°C
$5,628 Объем
No
41°C
$5,017 Объем
No
42°C or higher
$1,570 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$48,943Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$48,943Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Short-range forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show Chongqing under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak temperatures near 37–38°C on July 13. Ensemble guidance indicates modest variability in afternoon humidity and boundary-layer moisture that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Urban heat-island effects and upstream monsoon flow add further uncertainty to precise readings at official stations. Historical July extremes in the region have occasionally exceeded 40°C when subsidence strengthens, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures suggest such outliers remain low-probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы