Forecast consensus from multiple models places Chongqing's September 3 maximum near 33–34 °C under a strengthening continental high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and enhanced solar heating. Recent official guidance highlights gradual warming through early September amid subsidence that suppresses cloud formation and promotes daytime temperature rises, though localized variations in wind and humidity introduce modest uncertainty. This positioning explains the near-even market-implied odds for 34 °C (25.0 %) and 35 °C (25.5 %), with lower probabilities assigned to extremes as ensemble spreads remain tight around the seasonal baseline. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 3 сентября?
35°C 26%
34°C 26%
36°C 14%
33°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
30°C or below
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
9%
33°C
12%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
14%
37°C
11%
38°C
7%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
3%
35°C 26%
34°C 26%
36°C 14%
33°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
30°C or below
$0 Объем
3%
31°C
$26 Объем
7%
32°C
$12 Объем
9%
33°C
$8 Объем
12%
34°C
$0 Объем
26%
35°C
$0 Объем
26%
36°C
$5 Объем
14%
37°C
$0 Объем
11%
38°C
$65 Объем
7%
39°C
$5 Объем
3%
40°C or higher
$5 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Chongqing's September 3 maximum near 33–34 °C under a strengthening continental high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and enhanced solar heating. Recent official guidance highlights gradual warming through early September amid subsidence that suppresses cloud formation and promotes daytime temperature rises, though localized variations in wind and humidity introduce modest uncertainty. This positioning explains the near-even market-implied odds for 34 °C (25.0 %) and 35 °C (25.5 %), with lower probabilities assigned to extremes as ensemble spreads remain tight around the seasonal baseline. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$126Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Chongqing's September 3 maximum near 33–34 °C under a strengthening continental high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and enhanced solar heating. Recent official guidance highlights gradual warming through early September amid subsidence that suppresses cloud formation and promotes daytime temperature rises, though localized variations in wind and humidity introduce modest uncertainty. This positioning explains the near-even market-implied odds for 34 °C (25.0 %) and 35 °C (25.5 %), with lower probabilities assigned to extremes as ensemble spreads remain tight around the seasonal baseline. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$126Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models places Chongqing's September 3 maximum near 33–34 °C under a strengthening continental high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and enhanced solar heating. Recent official guidance highlights gradual warming through early September amid subsidence that suppresses cloud formation and promotes daytime temperature rises, though localized variations in wind and humidity introduce modest uncertainty. This positioning explains the near-even market-implied odds for 34 °C (25.0 %) and 35 °C (25.5 %), with lower probabilities assigned to extremes as ensemble spreads remain tight around the seasonal baseline. Updated runs from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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