Persistent late-July heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical high promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, positions 102–103°F as the leading outcome for Dallas on July 31 with 50% implied probability. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on highs near 102–104°F amid ongoing heat advisories, consistent with climatological peaks for the period when dew points and afternoon mixing support extreme surface temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for 100–101°F if boundary-layer moisture increases or for 104–105°F under drier, windier conditions; traders weigh these narrow uncertainties against historical July extremes exceeding 105°F. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles on July 30 will refine the final range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 31 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Далласе 31 июля?
102-103°F 38%
100-101°F 29%
104-105°F 20%
98-99°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2026 г.
97°F or below
1%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
38%
104-105°F
20%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 38%
100-101°F 29%
104-105°F 20%
98-99°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2026 г.
97°F or below
$15 Объем
1%
98-99°F
$332 Объем
5%
100-101°F
$105 Объем
29%
102-103°F
$118 Объем
38%
104-105°F
$10 Объем
20%
106-107°F
$10 Объем
5%
108-109°F
$10 Объем
3%
110-111°F
$47 Объем
1%
112-113°F
$20 Объем
1%
114-115°F
$20 Объем
<1%
116°F or higher
$15 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-July heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical high promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, positions 102–103°F as the leading outcome for Dallas on July 31 with 50% implied probability. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on highs near 102–104°F amid ongoing heat advisories, consistent with climatological peaks for the period when dew points and afternoon mixing support extreme surface temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for 100–101°F if boundary-layer moisture increases or for 104–105°F under drier, windier conditions; traders weigh these narrow uncertainties against historical July extremes exceeding 105°F. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles on July 30 will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Объем
$702Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-July heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical high promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, positions 102–103°F as the leading outcome for Dallas on July 31 with 50% implied probability. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on highs near 102–104°F amid ongoing heat advisories, consistent with climatological peaks for the period when dew points and afternoon mixing support extreme surface temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for 100–101°F if boundary-layer moisture increases or for 104–105°F under drier, windier conditions; traders weigh these narrow uncertainties against historical July extremes exceeding 105°F. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles on July 30 will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$702Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent late-July heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical high promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, positions 102–103°F as the leading outcome for Dallas on July 31 with 50% implied probability. Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple forecast models converge on highs near 102–104°F amid ongoing heat advisories, consistent with climatological peaks for the period when dew points and afternoon mixing support extreme surface temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for 100–101°F if boundary-layer moisture increases or for 104–105°F under drier, windier conditions; traders weigh these narrow uncertainties against historical July extremes exceeding 105°F. Updated NWS briefings and evening model cycles on July 30 will refine the final range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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