Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 6?
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,428 Объем
$62,428 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,428 Объем
$62,428 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
24°C or below
$4,344 Объем
No
25°C
$14,442 Объем
No
26°C
$11,449 Объем
Yes
27°C
$4,552 Объем
No
28°C
$5,307 Объем
No
29°C
$12,705 Объем
No
30°C
$2,614 Объем
No
31°C
$3,104 Объем
No
32°C
$2,117 Объем
No
33°C
$1,350 Объем
No
34°C or higher
$444 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Объем
$62,428Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$62,428Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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