Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 6, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Recent downpours and associated cloud cover suppressed daytime heating amid the seasonal monsoon transition, preventing the typical June peak near 31–32°C observed in climatological averages. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns where convective activity and variable steering flows moderate extremes, though minor measurement variations at urban stations or slight forecast revisions could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds were narrowly missed. Traders’ consensus reflects confidence in these verified observations over model projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 6?
30°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$278,204 Объем
$278,204 Объем
6 июн. 2026 г.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$278,204 Объем
$278,204 Объем
6 июн. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$11,597 Объем
No
29°C
$29,237 Объем
No
30°C
$115,781 Объем
Yes
31°C
$50,900 Объем
No
32°C
$25,242 Объем
No
33°C
$15,082 Объем
No
34°C
$14,207 Объем
No
35°C
$12,142 Объем
No
36°C
$1,270 Объем
No
37°C
$730 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$2,014 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 6, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Recent downpours and associated cloud cover suppressed daytime heating amid the seasonal monsoon transition, preventing the typical June peak near 31–32°C observed in climatological averages. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns where convective activity and variable steering flows moderate extremes, though minor measurement variations at urban stations or slight forecast revisions could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds were narrowly missed. Traders’ consensus reflects confidence in these verified observations over model projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$278,204Дата окончания
6 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 6, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Recent downpours and associated cloud cover suppressed daytime heating amid the seasonal monsoon transition, preventing the typical June peak near 31–32°C observed in climatological averages. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns where convective activity and variable steering flows moderate extremes, though minor measurement variations at urban stations or slight forecast revisions could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds were narrowly missed. Traders’ consensus reflects confidence in these verified observations over model projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$278,204Дата окончания
6 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 6, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Recent downpours and associated cloud cover suppressed daytime heating amid the seasonal monsoon transition, preventing the typical June peak near 31–32°C observed in climatological averages. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns where convective activity and variable steering flows moderate extremes, though minor measurement variations at urban stations or slight forecast revisions could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds were narrowly missed. Traders’ consensus reflects confidence in these verified observations over model projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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