Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 9?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$653,114 Объем
$653,114 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$653,114 Объем
$653,114 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
17°C or below
$12,359 Объем
No
18°C
$3,612 Объем
No
19°C
$1,658 Объем
No
20°C
$11,870 Объем
No
21°C
$7,626 Объем
No
22°C
$19,989 Объем
No
23°C
$65,422 Объем
No
24°C
$138,689 Объем
No
25°C
$225,024 Объем
No
26°C
$94,431 Объем
Yes
27°C or higher
$72,433 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Объем
$653,114Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$653,114Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological observations confirm the highest air temperature on May 9, 2026, reached exactly 26°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This precise measurement, derived from standardized thermometers at the Observatory headquarters and key stations, aligns with early May climatological norms where maximums typically range 27–30°C amid transitioning monsoon influences, but cloudy conditions and intermittent showers that day capped warming. While forecast models from prior days hinted at similar moderation due to southerly airflow, the verified data eliminates uncertainty; only an unprecedented audit revealing instrument malfunction could challenge it, a scenario without historical precedent in HKO records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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