Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 80-83°F highs for Houston on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles indicating peak afternoon temperatures in the low to mid-80s°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Recent developments include a warming trend following mid-week showers, with sparse rain chances (under 20%) allowing stronger boundary layer mixing and solar heating, though sea breeze timing introduces variability—earlier onshore flow could cap highs at 80-81°F via increased clouds and humidity, while delayed breezes favor 82-83°F or higher. Historical mid-April normals hover near 80°F, amplifying sensitivity to these factors; watch NWS updates and 12Z model runs Friday for refinements amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on April 18?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 18?
84°F or higher 40%
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
29%
84°F or higher
40%
84°F or higher 40%
80-81°F 38%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
65°F or below
$623 Объем
1%
66-67°F
$75 Объем
3%
68-69°F
$77 Объем
3%
70-71°F
$17 Объем
3%
72-73°F
$15 Объем
13%
74-75°F
$15 Объем
9%
76-77°F
$44 Объем
17%
78-79°F
$47 Объем
25%
80-81°F
$18 Объем
32%
82-83°F
$28 Объем
29%
84°F or higher
$15 Объем
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 80-83°F highs for Houston on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles indicating peak afternoon temperatures in the low to mid-80s°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Recent developments include a warming trend following mid-week showers, with sparse rain chances (under 20%) allowing stronger boundary layer mixing and solar heating, though sea breeze timing introduces variability—earlier onshore flow could cap highs at 80-81°F via increased clouds and humidity, while delayed breezes favor 82-83°F or higher. Historical mid-April normals hover near 80°F, amplifying sensitivity to these factors; watch NWS updates and 12Z model runs Friday for refinements amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ET
Объем
$871Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 80-83°F highs for Houston on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles indicating peak afternoon temperatures in the low to mid-80s°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Recent developments include a warming trend following mid-week showers, with sparse rain chances (under 20%) allowing stronger boundary layer mixing and solar heating, though sea breeze timing introduces variability—earlier onshore flow could cap highs at 80-81°F via increased clouds and humidity, while delayed breezes favor 82-83°F or higher. Historical mid-April normals hover near 80°F, amplifying sensitivity to these factors; watch NWS updates and 12Z model runs Friday for refinements amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$871Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 80-83°F highs for Houston on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles indicating peak afternoon temperatures in the low to mid-80s°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Recent developments include a warming trend following mid-week showers, with sparse rain chances (under 20%) allowing stronger boundary layer mixing and solar heating, though sea breeze timing introduces variability—earlier onshore flow could cap highs at 80-81°F via increased clouds and humidity, while delayed breezes favor 82-83°F or higher. Historical mid-April normals hover near 80°F, amplifying sensitivity to these factors; watch NWS updates and 12Z model runs Friday for refinements amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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