Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus for Houston on June 29 centers on afternoon highs of 92–95°F under partly to mostly sunny skies, consistent with the market’s leading 94–95°F (45%) and 92–93°F (31%) bins. This aligns with June climatology, where the average daily high reaches 92°F amid typical Gulf moisture and southerly flow. A wetter-than-normal early June has kept temperatures near seasonal norms, but drier conditions and stronger insolation in the final week have allowed modest warming without triggering extreme-heat setups. Low probabilities for 96°F+ or sub-90°F outcomes reflect limited model spread and the absence of strong frontal passages or widespread cloud cover. Resolution hinges on the official Houston Intercontinental Airport observation tomorrow.