**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 28?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 28?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,896 Объем
$53,896 Объем
28 апр. 2026 г.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,896 Объем
$53,896 Объем
28 апр. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$855 Объем
No
10°C
$1,511 Объем
No
11°C
$3,804 Объем
No
12°C
$3,176 Объем
No
13°C
$4,870 Объем
Yes
14°C
$18,600 Объем
No
15°C
$3,576 Объем
No
16°C
$6,407 Объем
No
17°C
$4,822 Объем
No
18°C
$3,087 Объем
No
19°C or higher
$3,188 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Объем
$53,896Дата окончания
28 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$53,896Дата окончания
28 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 26, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Official measurements from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached exactly 13°C on April 28, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome.** Station data from key locations like Florya and surrounding automated weather stations recorded this peak amid northerly winds ushering cooler Balkan air masses, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and temperatures falling short of the April climatological average high of around 16°C. Pre-event forecast models from MGM and ECMWF had converged on low-teens maxima by midday April 28, aligning with observed conditions. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision during MGM quality control—highly improbable given the stability of ground-based thermometric readings—or evidence of a higher unverified outlier at a non-reference station, though resolution criteria prioritize official Istanbul reports. Traders await no further updates, as the event has passed with strong scientific consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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