Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's June 23 maximum will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by moderate high-pressure influence, light northerly winds across the Bosphorus, and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-summer insolation. Sea-breeze effects from the Marmara and Black Seas may cap afternoon peaks near 26°C while suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty from minor shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 23?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 23?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$61,082 Объем
$61,082 Объем
23 июн. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$61,082 Объем
$61,082 Объем
23 июн. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$843 Объем
No
22°C
$490 Объем
No
23°C
$1,920 Объем
No
24°C
$3,563 Объем
No
25°C
$11,061 Объем
No
26°C
$17,538 Объем
Yes
27°C
$5,772 Объем
No
28°C
$13,081 Объем
No
29°C
$3,938 Объем
No
30°C
$1,200 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$1,676 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's June 23 maximum will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by moderate high-pressure influence, light northerly winds across the Bosphorus, and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-summer insolation. Sea-breeze effects from the Marmara and Black Seas may cap afternoon peaks near 26°C while suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty from minor shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 21, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$61,082Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 21, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's June 23 maximum will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by moderate high-pressure influence, light northerly winds across the Bosphorus, and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-summer insolation. Sea-breeze effects from the Marmara and Black Seas may cap afternoon peaks near 26°C while suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty from minor shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$61,082Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 21, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's June 23 maximum will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by moderate high-pressure influence, light northerly winds across the Bosphorus, and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-summer insolation. Sea-breeze effects from the Marmara and Black Seas may cap afternoon peaks near 26°C while suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty from minor shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы