Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 3 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 3 июня?
28°C или выше 100.0%
18°C или ниже <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,834 Объем
$17,834 Объем
3 июн. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C или выше
Да
28°C или выше 100.0%
18°C или ниже <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,834 Объем
$17,834 Объем
3 июн. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$436 Объем
Нет
19°C
$436 Объем
Нет
20°C
$551 Объем
Нет
21°C
$561 Объем
Нет
22°C
$546 Объем
Нет
23°C
$1,404 Объем
Нет
24°C
$657 Объем
Нет
25°C
$1,095 Объем
Нет
26°C
$2,943 Объем
Нет
27°C
$4,737 Объем
Нет
28°C или выше
$4,468 Объем
Да
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Объем
$17,834Дата окончания
3 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17,834Дата окончания
3 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы