Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 4?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 4?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,046 Объем
$19,046 Объем
4 июн. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,046 Объем
$19,046 Объем
4 июн. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$138 Объем
No
22°C
$136 Объем
No
23°C
$147 Объем
No
24°C
$687 Объем
No
25°C
$139 Объем
No
26°C
$1,579 Объем
No
27°C
$1,064 Объем
No
28°C
$1,680 Объем
No
29°C
$2,471 Объем
No
30°C
$4,030 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$6,976 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$19,046Дата окончания
4 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$19,046Дата окончания
4 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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