Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a peak temperature of 22°C during the early afternoon of May 7, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) hourly readings topping out at 22°C under partly cloudy skies before cooling to 18.7°C by late evening. This outcome reflects a mild rebound from the recent early-May cold snap—highs of 12–18°C on May 3–6 driven by northerly Black Sea airflows—with GFS and ECMWF models accurately forecasting 22–23°C highs amid a building high-pressure ridge and light winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores this data-backed certainty, though a rare post hoc revision in NOAA's quality-controlled archive could theoretically shift it; final MGM daily summaries expected soon affirm the reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 7?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 7?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$90,104 Объем
$90,104 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$90,104 Объем
$90,104 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
14°C or below
$1,455 Объем
No
15°C
$1,292 Объем
No
16°C
$2,369 Объем
No
17°C
$4,660 Объем
No
18°C
$4,348 Объем
No
19°C
$4,311 Объем
No
20°C
$5,254 Объем
No
21°C
$27,417 Объем
No
22°C
$16,204 Объем
Yes
23°C
$12,094 Объем
No
24°C or higher
$10,699 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a peak temperature of 22°C during the early afternoon of May 7, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) hourly readings topping out at 22°C under partly cloudy skies before cooling to 18.7°C by late evening. This outcome reflects a mild rebound from the recent early-May cold snap—highs of 12–18°C on May 3–6 driven by northerly Black Sea airflows—with GFS and ECMWF models accurately forecasting 22–23°C highs amid a building high-pressure ridge and light winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores this data-backed certainty, though a rare post hoc revision in NOAA's quality-controlled archive could theoretically shift it; final MGM daily summaries expected soon affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Объем
$90,104Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a peak temperature of 22°C during the early afternoon of May 7, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) hourly readings topping out at 22°C under partly cloudy skies before cooling to 18.7°C by late evening. This outcome reflects a mild rebound from the recent early-May cold snap—highs of 12–18°C on May 3–6 driven by northerly Black Sea airflows—with GFS and ECMWF models accurately forecasting 22–23°C highs amid a building high-pressure ridge and light winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores this data-backed certainty, though a rare post hoc revision in NOAA's quality-controlled archive could theoretically shift it; final MGM daily summaries expected soon affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$90,104Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a peak temperature of 22°C during the early afternoon of May 7, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) hourly readings topping out at 22°C under partly cloudy skies before cooling to 18.7°C by late evening. This outcome reflects a mild rebound from the recent early-May cold snap—highs of 12–18°C on May 3–6 driven by northerly Black Sea airflows—with GFS and ECMWF models accurately forecasting 22–23°C highs amid a building high-pressure ridge and light winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores this data-backed certainty, though a rare post hoc revision in NOAA's quality-controlled archive could theoretically shift it; final MGM daily summaries expected soon affirm the reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы