Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 16, with closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (29.5%), 33°C (26.5%), and 25°C (24.5%), driven by divergent short-range forecast models and variable sea breeze dynamics. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) outlook anticipates rising temperatures amid above-normal rainfall potential, following Karachi's hottest day of the season on April 13 when weakened sea breezes allowed highs near 36°C. Mid-April climatology favors 33-35°C peaks moderated by afternoon onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, but cloud cover and gusty winds could suppress peaks toward 25-29°C as seen in some ensemble runs. Overnight PMD advisories and dawn observations will clarify sea breeze onset, a key factor differentiating warmer versus moderated outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on April 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 16?
29°C 31%
30°C 30%
28°C 29%
27°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
27%
28°C
29%
29°C
31%
30°C
30%
31°C
24%
32°C
26%
33°C
27%
34°C или выше
14%
29°C 31%
30°C 30%
28°C 29%
27°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$449 Объем
1%
25°C
$200 Объем
1%
26°C
$229 Объем
3%
27°C
$20 Объем
27%
28°C
$21 Объем
29%
29°C
$21 Объем
31%
30°C
$21 Объем
30%
31°C
$26 Объем
24%
32°C
$35 Объем
26%
33°C
$49 Объем
27%
34°C или выше
$944 Объем
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 16, with closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (29.5%), 33°C (26.5%), and 25°C (24.5%), driven by divergent short-range forecast models and variable sea breeze dynamics. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) outlook anticipates rising temperatures amid above-normal rainfall potential, following Karachi's hottest day of the season on April 13 when weakened sea breezes allowed highs near 36°C. Mid-April climatology favors 33-35°C peaks moderated by afternoon onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, but cloud cover and gusty winds could suppress peaks toward 25-29°C as seen in some ensemble runs. Overnight PMD advisories and dawn observations will clarify sea breeze onset, a key factor differentiating warmer versus moderated outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Объем
$2,014Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 16, with closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (29.5%), 33°C (26.5%), and 25°C (24.5%), driven by divergent short-range forecast models and variable sea breeze dynamics. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) outlook anticipates rising temperatures amid above-normal rainfall potential, following Karachi's hottest day of the season on April 13 when weakened sea breezes allowed highs near 36°C. Mid-April climatology favors 33-35°C peaks moderated by afternoon onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, but cloud cover and gusty winds could suppress peaks toward 25-29°C as seen in some ensemble runs. Overnight PMD advisories and dawn observations will clarify sea breeze onset, a key factor differentiating warmer versus moderated outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,014Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature for April 16, with closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (29.5%), 33°C (26.5%), and 25°C (24.5%), driven by divergent short-range forecast models and variable sea breeze dynamics. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) outlook anticipates rising temperatures amid above-normal rainfall potential, following Karachi's hottest day of the season on April 13 when weakened sea breezes allowed highs near 36°C. Mid-April climatology favors 33-35°C peaks moderated by afternoon onshore flows from the Arabian Sea, but cloud cover and gusty winds could suppress peaks toward 25-29°C as seen in some ensemble runs. Overnight PMD advisories and dawn observations will clarify sea breeze onset, a key factor differentiating warmer versus moderated outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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