Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on April 30?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 30?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$39,680 Объем
$39,680 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$39,680 Объем
$39,680 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$6,875 Объем
No
29°C
$1,742 Объем
No
30°C
$1,250 Объем
No
31°C
$1,331 Объем
No
32°C
$3,056 Объем
No
33°C
$5,073 Объем
No
34°C
$4,760 Объем
Yes
35°C
$6,395 Объем
No
36°C
$4,677 Объем
No
37°C
$1,763 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$2,759 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Объем
$39,680Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$39,680Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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