Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (31.5%) and 18°C (31.0%) as the highest temperature at London Heathrow on April 17, reflecting tight forecast model agreement amid inherent short-range uncertainty from the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles. Following record early April heat peaking at 26.6°C on April 8 near Kew Gardens—the UK's warmest early April day in 80 years—a low-pressure system brought rain, gusty winds, and cooler conditions over the past week, capping recent highs around 14-15°C. Current guidance points to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and highs in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius under weak high-pressure influence, with cloud cover and any lingering showers as key differentiators: fuller sun could nudge toward 19°C (20.5%), while thicker overcast favors 16°C or below. New Met Office updates expected daily through resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on April 17?
Highest temperature in London on April 17?
17°C 33%
18°C 32%
19°C 21%
16°C 10%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
10%
17°C
33%
18°C
32%
19°C
21%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 33%
18°C 32%
19°C 21%
16°C 10%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
10%
17°C
33%
18°C
32%
19°C
21%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (31.5%) and 18°C (31.0%) as the highest temperature at London Heathrow on April 17, reflecting tight forecast model agreement amid inherent short-range uncertainty from the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles. Following record early April heat peaking at 26.6°C on April 8 near Kew Gardens—the UK's warmest early April day in 80 years—a low-pressure system brought rain, gusty winds, and cooler conditions over the past week, capping recent highs around 14-15°C. Current guidance points to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and highs in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius under weak high-pressure influence, with cloud cover and any lingering showers as key differentiators: fuller sun could nudge toward 19°C (20.5%), while thicker overcast favors 16°C or below. New Met Office updates expected daily through resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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