India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 10?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 10?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$27,628 Объем
$27,628 Объем
10 мая 2026 г.
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$27,628 Объем
$27,628 Объем
10 мая 2026 г.
35°C or below
$5,101 Объем
Yes
36°C
$3,175 Объем
No
37°C
$3,094 Объем
No
38°C
$3,980 Объем
No
39°C
$1,159 Объем
No
40°C
$1,407 Объем
No
41°C
$1,121 Объем
No
42°C
$2,136 Объем
No
43°C
$709 Объем
No
44°C
$2,885 Объем
No
45°C or higher
$2,860 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$27,628Дата окончания
10 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$27,628Дата окончания
10 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 35.0°C on May 10, 2026—a 4.7°C departure below the seasonal normal for this pre-monsoon period—driving the market's 100% implied probability on "35°C or below." This aligns with recent cooler trends, including a rare 28°C maximum earlier in May linked to western disturbances bringing cloud cover and light precipitation, suppressing daytime heating despite clear skies forecast. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, trusts IMD's verified station data from Lucknow observatory as the resolution source. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over peak-hour readings, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.5°C. Final IMD bulletin expected soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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