PAGASA's latest forecast, updated April 15, projects a 34°C high temperature for Metro Manila on April 16 amid clear skies and dry conditions from a persistent high-pressure ridge, following an observed 34.4°C peak at Science Garden station on April 14. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 34°C and 35°C outcomes near 29% each, reflecting model ensembles showing mid-30s peaks during the dry season's peak solar insolation and low humidity. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying readings by 1-2°C, light easterly winds moderating sea breeze, and minimal cloud cover variability; probabilities cluster tightly due to inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, with final resolution hinging on afternoon observations from PAGASA stations. Next update expected early April 16.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Manila on April 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 16?
31°C 30%
34°C 30%
35°C 30%
33°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
30%
32°C
26%
33°C
27%
34°C
30%
35°C
30%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
11%
31°C 30%
34°C 30%
35°C 30%
33°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$268 Объем
1%
30°C
$187 Объем
1%
31°C
$187 Объем
30%
32°C
$7 Объем
26%
33°C
$0 Объем
27%
34°C
$0 Объем
30%
35°C
$0 Объем
30%
36°C
$0 Объем
26%
37°C
$0 Объем
26%
38°C
$0 Объем
26%
39°C or higher
$0 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast, updated April 15, projects a 34°C high temperature for Metro Manila on April 16 amid clear skies and dry conditions from a persistent high-pressure ridge, following an observed 34.4°C peak at Science Garden station on April 14. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 34°C and 35°C outcomes near 29% each, reflecting model ensembles showing mid-30s peaks during the dry season's peak solar insolation and low humidity. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying readings by 1-2°C, light easterly winds moderating sea breeze, and minimal cloud cover variability; probabilities cluster tightly due to inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, with final resolution hinging on afternoon observations from PAGASA stations. Next update expected early April 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Объем
$650Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast, updated April 15, projects a 34°C high temperature for Metro Manila on April 16 amid clear skies and dry conditions from a persistent high-pressure ridge, following an observed 34.4°C peak at Science Garden station on April 14. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 34°C and 35°C outcomes near 29% each, reflecting model ensembles showing mid-30s peaks during the dry season's peak solar insolation and low humidity. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying readings by 1-2°C, light easterly winds moderating sea breeze, and minimal cloud cover variability; probabilities cluster tightly due to inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, with final resolution hinging on afternoon observations from PAGASA stations. Next update expected early April 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$650Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecast, updated April 15, projects a 34°C high temperature for Metro Manila on April 16 amid clear skies and dry conditions from a persistent high-pressure ridge, following an observed 34.4°C peak at Science Garden station on April 14. This aligns with trader consensus pricing 34°C and 35°C outcomes near 29% each, reflecting model ensembles showing mid-30s peaks during the dry season's peak solar insolation and low humidity. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying readings by 1-2°C, light easterly winds moderating sea breeze, and minimal cloud cover variability; probabilities cluster tightly due to inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, with final resolution hinging on afternoon observations from PAGASA stations. Next update expected early April 16.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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