PAGASA observations confirm Metro Manila's hot, dry conditions under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary urban reference—peaking at 35.1°C on April 18, while nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA, RPLL) hit 36.3°C per end-of-day reports updated at 11:59 PM. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects real-time monitoring of the resolution source, Wunderground's NAIA history data (rounded to whole degrees Celsius), showing no breach beyond that threshold amid post-sunset cooling and declining solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include a final data revision upward from provisional METAR reports or an anomalous late-evening heat spike, though unlikely given nocturnal boundary layer stabilization; watch for Wunderground's finalized daily summary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Manila on April 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$23,454 Объем
$23,454 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$23,454 Объем
$23,454 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$1,722 Объем
No
29°C
$1,019 Объем
No
30°C
$2,696 Объем
No
31°C
$2,304 Объем
No
32°C
$4,018 Объем
No
33°C
$1,837 Объем
No
34°C
$880 Объем
No
35°C
$3,210 Объем
Yes
36°C
$1,672 Объем
No
37°C
$2,143 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$1,954 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations confirm Metro Manila's hot, dry conditions under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary urban reference—peaking at 35.1°C on April 18, while nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA, RPLL) hit 36.3°C per end-of-day reports updated at 11:59 PM. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects real-time monitoring of the resolution source, Wunderground's NAIA history data (rounded to whole degrees Celsius), showing no breach beyond that threshold amid post-sunset cooling and declining solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include a final data revision upward from provisional METAR reports or an anomalous late-evening heat spike, though unlikely given nocturnal boundary layer stabilization; watch for Wunderground's finalized daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Объем
$23,454Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations confirm Metro Manila's hot, dry conditions under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary urban reference—peaking at 35.1°C on April 18, while nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA, RPLL) hit 36.3°C per end-of-day reports updated at 11:59 PM. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects real-time monitoring of the resolution source, Wunderground's NAIA history data (rounded to whole degrees Celsius), showing no breach beyond that threshold amid post-sunset cooling and declining solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include a final data revision upward from provisional METAR reports or an anomalous late-evening heat spike, though unlikely given nocturnal boundary layer stabilization; watch for Wunderground's finalized daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$23,454Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
PAGASA observations confirm Metro Manila's hot, dry conditions under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary urban reference—peaking at 35.1°C on April 18, while nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA, RPLL) hit 36.3°C per end-of-day reports updated at 11:59 PM. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects real-time monitoring of the resolution source, Wunderground's NAIA history data (rounded to whole degrees Celsius), showing no breach beyond that threshold amid post-sunset cooling and declining solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include a final data revision upward from provisional METAR reports or an anomalous late-evening heat spike, though unlikely given nocturnal boundary layer stabilization; watch for Wunderground's finalized daily summary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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