Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 7?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,092 Объем
$25,092 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,092 Объем
$25,092 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
$3,353 Объем
No
19°C
$510 Объем
No
20°C
$485 Объем
No
21°C
$510 Объем
No
22°C
$1,407 Объем
No
23°C
$1,312 Объем
No
24°C
$1,051 Объем
No
25°C
$3,210 Объем
No
26°C
$5,357 Объем
No
27°C
$4,594 Объем
No
28°C or higher
$3,302 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Объем
$25,092Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,092Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on May 7 at Benito Juárez International Airport, backed by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts projecting a maximum of 30–32°C under persistent high-pressure conditions during the late dry season. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover at the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable intense solar heating, with morning observations already climbing from 16°C toward afternoon peaks, consistent with May climatology where averages hover at 25–27°C but heat domes frequently exceed 30°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources shows low precipitation risk before evening, solidifying positioning; realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers capping insolation, though probability remains below 5% per current guidance. Airport data updates through evening will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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