Latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Milan's highest temperature on April 15 at around 20-21°C, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 39% implied probability for 21°C, reflecting a mild high-pressure ridge over Northern Italy delivering above-average spring warmth—historical mid-April highs average 17-18°C at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations. Yesterday's model runs showed tight ensemble clustering with minimal spread, supported by clear skies and southerly flows limiting cloud interference, though minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects. ARPA Lombardia bulletins and final hourly observations today will refine this, as resolution hinges on the peak reading from official airport stations before midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 15?
21°C 39%
20°C 31%
22°C 21%
23°C or higher 3.9%
НОВОЕ
$43,331 Объем
НОВОЕ
$43,331 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
31%
21°C
39%
22°C
21%
23°C or higher
4%
21°C 39%
20°C 31%
22°C 21%
23°C or higher 3.9%
НОВОЕ
$43,331 Объем
НОВОЕ
$43,331 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$5,693 Объем
<1%
14°C
$2,900 Объем
<1%
15°C
$3,261 Объем
1%
16°C
$1,975 Объем
<1%
17°C
$2,579 Объем
<1%
18°C
$5,119 Объем
<1%
19°C
$6,388 Объем
2%
20°C
$5,150 Объем
31%
21°C
$3,245 Объем
39%
22°C
$2,589 Объем
21%
23°C or higher
$4,437 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Milan's highest temperature on April 15 at around 20-21°C, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 39% implied probability for 21°C, reflecting a mild high-pressure ridge over Northern Italy delivering above-average spring warmth—historical mid-April highs average 17-18°C at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations. Yesterday's model runs showed tight ensemble clustering with minimal spread, supported by clear skies and southerly flows limiting cloud interference, though minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects. ARPA Lombardia bulletins and final hourly observations today will refine this, as resolution hinges on the peak reading from official airport stations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Объем
$43,331Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Milan's highest temperature on April 15 at around 20-21°C, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 39% implied probability for 21°C, reflecting a mild high-pressure ridge over Northern Italy delivering above-average spring warmth—historical mid-April highs average 17-18°C at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations. Yesterday's model runs showed tight ensemble clustering with minimal spread, supported by clear skies and southerly flows limiting cloud interference, though minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects. ARPA Lombardia bulletins and final hourly observations today will refine this, as resolution hinges on the peak reading from official airport stations before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$43,331Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Milan's highest temperature on April 15 at around 20-21°C, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 39% implied probability for 21°C, reflecting a mild high-pressure ridge over Northern Italy delivering above-average spring warmth—historical mid-April highs average 17-18°C at Milano Linate or Malpensa stations. Yesterday's model runs showed tight ensemble clustering with minimal spread, supported by clear skies and southerly flows limiting cloud interference, though minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon showers or urban heat effects. ARPA Lombardia bulletins and final hourly observations today will refine this, as resolution hinges on the peak reading from official airport stations before midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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