Short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS indicate a peak temperature near 35–37°C in Milan on August 1, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 36°C (32.5%) and 37°C (24%), with modest spread arising from small differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact timing of any weak moisture return. Historical August maxima average 28–30°C, so the current anomaly reflects amplified ridging rather than typical climatology. Updated model runs and official Italian Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 1 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 1 августа?
36°C 38%
37°C 25%
35°C 25%
38°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 авг. 2026 г.
33°C or below
5%
34°C
7%
35°C
25%
36°C
38%
37°C
25%
38°C
9%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 38%
37°C 25%
35°C 25%
38°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 авг. 2026 г.
33°C or below
$31 Объем
5%
34°C
$17 Объем
7%
35°C
$75 Объем
25%
36°C
$31 Объем
38%
37°C
$90 Объем
25%
38°C
$10 Объем
9%
39°C
$55 Объем
3%
40°C
$30 Объем
1%
41°C
$30 Объем
<1%
42°C
$10 Объем
<1%
43°C or higher
$10 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS indicate a peak temperature near 35–37°C in Milan on August 1, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 36°C (32.5%) and 37°C (24%), with modest spread arising from small differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact timing of any weak moisture return. Historical August maxima average 28–30°C, so the current anomaly reflects amplified ridging rather than typical climatology. Updated model runs and official Italian Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$389Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS indicate a peak temperature near 35–37°C in Milan on August 1, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 36°C (32.5%) and 37°C (24%), with modest spread arising from small differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact timing of any weak moisture return. Historical August maxima average 28–30°C, so the current anomaly reflects amplified ridging rather than typical climatology. Updated model runs and official Italian Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$389Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS indicate a peak temperature near 35–37°C in Milan on August 1, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes at 36°C (32.5%) and 37°C (24%), with modest spread arising from small differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact timing of any weak moisture return. Historical August maxima average 28–30°C, so the current anomaly reflects amplified ridging rather than typical climatology. Updated model runs and official Italian Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы