Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on June 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 18?
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,902 Объем
$41,902 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
30°C or below
No
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C
Да
34°C
Нет
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Нет
40°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,902 Объем
$41,902 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
30°C or below
$688 Объем
No
31°C
$2,885 Объем
Нет
32°C
$7,214 Объем
Нет
33°C
$9,461 Объем
Да
34°C
$7,747 Объем
Нет
35°C
$4,992 Объем
No
36°C
$3,057 Объем
No
37°C
$4,861 Объем
No
38°C
$378 Объем
No
39°C
$365 Объем
Нет
40°C or higher
$253 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Объем
$41,902Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$41,902Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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