Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C in Moscow on April 18, backed by real-time observational data from NOAA at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's official resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 10°C under overcast skies and light precipitation. This positioning stems from a sharp cold snap triggered by an influx of Arctic air over European Russia, following unseasonably warm highs near 16°C on April 16, as confirmed by Russian Hydrometeorological Center updates. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS anticipated subdued warming due to persistent cloud cover and northerly winds, aligning with historical April climatology where daily maxima rarely exceed forecasts amid such synoptic patterns. With sunset approaching and minimal diurnal heating potential remaining, only an improbable sudden clearing and solar surge could challenge this, though official hourly reports through evening will finalize the record.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
10°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$83,389 Объем
$83,389 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$83,389 Объем
$83,389 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
6°C or below
$7,089 Объем
No
7°C
$6,025 Объем
No
8°C
$7,761 Объем
No
9°C
$14,953 Объем
No
10°C
$17,718 Объем
Yes
11°C
$7,621 Объем
No
12°C
$7,228 Объем
No
13°C
$5,936 Объем
No
14°C
$3,396 Объем
No
15°C
$3,033 Объем
No
16°C or higher
$2,629 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C in Moscow on April 18, backed by real-time observational data from NOAA at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's official resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 10°C under overcast skies and light precipitation. This positioning stems from a sharp cold snap triggered by an influx of Arctic air over European Russia, following unseasonably warm highs near 16°C on April 16, as confirmed by Russian Hydrometeorological Center updates. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS anticipated subdued warming due to persistent cloud cover and northerly winds, aligning with historical April climatology where daily maxima rarely exceed forecasts amid such synoptic patterns. With sunset approaching and minimal diurnal heating potential remaining, only an improbable sudden clearing and solar surge could challenge this, though official hourly reports through evening will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
Объем
$83,389Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C in Moscow on April 18, backed by real-time observational data from NOAA at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's official resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 10°C under overcast skies and light precipitation. This positioning stems from a sharp cold snap triggered by an influx of Arctic air over European Russia, following unseasonably warm highs near 16°C on April 16, as confirmed by Russian Hydrometeorological Center updates. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS anticipated subdued warming due to persistent cloud cover and northerly winds, aligning with historical April climatology where daily maxima rarely exceed forecasts amid such synoptic patterns. With sunset approaching and minimal diurnal heating potential remaining, only an improbable sudden clearing and solar surge could challenge this, though official hourly reports through evening will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$83,389Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C in Moscow on April 18, backed by real-time observational data from NOAA at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's official resolution source—which recorded a midday peak of 10°C under overcast skies and light precipitation. This positioning stems from a sharp cold snap triggered by an influx of Arctic air over European Russia, following unseasonably warm highs near 16°C on April 16, as confirmed by Russian Hydrometeorological Center updates. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS anticipated subdued warming due to persistent cloud cover and northerly winds, aligning with historical April climatology where daily maxima rarely exceed forecasts amid such synoptic patterns. With sunset approaching and minimal diurnal heating potential remaining, only an improbable sudden clearing and solar surge could challenge this, though official hourly reports through evening will finalize the record.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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