Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching exactly 10°C on April 25, 2026, backed by official observations from the Vnukovo International Airport weather station (NOAA data source for resolution), which recorded a daily maximum of 10.3°C—rounding to whole degrees as per market criteria. This aligns with recent Gismeteo and AccuWeather model runs forecasting peaks of 9–10°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity suppressing solar insolation, and cool northerly flows following a brief warm-up earlier in the week (e.g., 13.6°C max on April 22). With the meteorological day concluded, only a post-finalization revision by NOAA could challenge this, though such adjustments are rare and typically minor. Watch for official NOAA timeseries confirmation at UUWW for final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on April 25?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 25?
10°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$79,573 Объем
$79,573 Объем
25 апр. 2026 г.
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$79,573 Объем
$79,573 Объем
25 апр. 2026 г.
3°C or below
$1,388 Объем
No
4°C
$2,095 Объем
No
5°C
$3,347 Объем
No
6°C
$3,092 Объем
No
7°C
$5,008 Объем
No
8°C
$8,130 Объем
No
9°C
$3,379 Объем
No
10°C
$15,015 Объем
Yes
11°C
$15,902 Объем
No
12°C
$12,651 Объем
No
13°C or higher
$9,566 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching exactly 10°C on April 25, 2026, backed by official observations from the Vnukovo International Airport weather station (NOAA data source for resolution), which recorded a daily maximum of 10.3°C—rounding to whole degrees as per market criteria. This aligns with recent Gismeteo and AccuWeather model runs forecasting peaks of 9–10°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity suppressing solar insolation, and cool northerly flows following a brief warm-up earlier in the week (e.g., 13.6°C max on April 22). With the meteorological day concluded, only a post-finalization revision by NOAA could challenge this, though such adjustments are rare and typically minor. Watch for official NOAA timeseries confirmation at UUWW for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$79,573Дата окончания
25 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching exactly 10°C on April 25, 2026, backed by official observations from the Vnukovo International Airport weather station (NOAA data source for resolution), which recorded a daily maximum of 10.3°C—rounding to whole degrees as per market criteria. This aligns with recent Gismeteo and AccuWeather model runs forecasting peaks of 9–10°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity suppressing solar insolation, and cool northerly flows following a brief warm-up earlier in the week (e.g., 13.6°C max on April 22). With the meteorological day concluded, only a post-finalization revision by NOAA could challenge this, though such adjustments are rare and typically minor. Watch for official NOAA timeseries confirmation at UUWW for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$79,573Дата окончания
25 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature reaching exactly 10°C on April 25, 2026, backed by official observations from the Vnukovo International Airport weather station (NOAA data source for resolution), which recorded a daily maximum of 10.3°C—rounding to whole degrees as per market criteria. This aligns with recent Gismeteo and AccuWeather model runs forecasting peaks of 9–10°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity suppressing solar insolation, and cool northerly flows following a brief warm-up earlier in the week (e.g., 13.6°C max on April 22). With the meteorological day concluded, only a post-finalization revision by NOAA could challenge this, though such adjustments are rare and typically minor. Watch for official NOAA timeseries confirmation at UUWW for final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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