Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on June 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 3?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$186,489 Объем
$186,489 Объем
3 июн. 2026 г.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$186,489 Объем
$186,489 Объем
3 июн. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$1,894 Объем
No
18°C
$1,940 Объем
No
19°C
$4,413 Объем
No
20°C
$3,054 Объем
No
21°C
$26,727 Объем
No
22°C
$101,560 Объем
No
23°C
$7,422 Объем
No
24°C
$15,824 Объем
Yes
25°C
$12,586 Объем
No
26°C
$7,160 Объем
No
27°C or higher
$3,910 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$186,489Дата окончания
3 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$186,489Дата окончания
3 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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