Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on May 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 1?
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$69,606 Объем
$69,606 Объем
1 мая 2026 г.
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$69,606 Объем
$69,606 Объем
1 мая 2026 г.
4°C or below
$2,767 Объем
No
5°C
$2,153 Объем
No
6°C
$3,438 Объем
No
7°C
$14,212 Объем
No
8°C
$7,985 Объем
Yes
9°C
$7,747 Объем
No
10°C
$4,221 Объем
No
11°C
$4,826 Объем
No
12°C
$12,010 Объем
No
13°C
$5,316 Объем
No
14°C or higher
$4,931 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$69,606Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$69,606Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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