Stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over central Russia have set up Moscow for a daytime maximum near 30°C today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Official forecasts emphasize moderate surface warming from strong solar insolation under anticyclonic conditions, typical for late May when regional temperatures align closely with climatological averages around 19–22°C. This convergence of short-range model guidance and real-time observations supports the current trader positioning. Brief convective activity or localized urban heat-island amplification could nudge isolated readings slightly higher, yet such factors are unlikely to shift the official high beyond the 30°C threshold based on the latest meteorological updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on May 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 21?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,682 Объем
$49,682 Объем
21 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,682 Объем
$49,682 Объем
21 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
$3,267 Объем
No
24°C
$705 Объем
No
25°C
$1,435 Объем
No
26°C
$3,612 Объем
No
27°C
$2,644 Объем
No
28°C
$2,978 Объем
No
29°C
$3,294 Объем
No
30°C
$8,366 Объем
Yes
31°C
$5,075 Объем
No
32°C
$3,349 Объем
No
33°C or higher
$14,956 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over central Russia have set up Moscow for a daytime maximum near 30°C today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Official forecasts emphasize moderate surface warming from strong solar insolation under anticyclonic conditions, typical for late May when regional temperatures align closely with climatological averages around 19–22°C. This convergence of short-range model guidance and real-time observations supports the current trader positioning. Brief convective activity or localized urban heat-island amplification could nudge isolated readings slightly higher, yet such factors are unlikely to shift the official high beyond the 30°C threshold based on the latest meteorological updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$49,682Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over central Russia have set up Moscow for a daytime maximum near 30°C today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Official forecasts emphasize moderate surface warming from strong solar insolation under anticyclonic conditions, typical for late May when regional temperatures align closely with climatological averages around 19–22°C. This convergence of short-range model guidance and real-time observations supports the current trader positioning. Brief convective activity or localized urban heat-island amplification could nudge isolated readings slightly higher, yet such factors are unlikely to shift the official high beyond the 30°C threshold based on the latest meteorological updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$49,682Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over central Russia have set up Moscow for a daytime maximum near 30°C today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Official forecasts emphasize moderate surface warming from strong solar insolation under anticyclonic conditions, typical for late May when regional temperatures align closely with climatological averages around 19–22°C. This convergence of short-range model guidance and real-time observations supports the current trader positioning. Brief convective activity or localized urban heat-island amplification could nudge isolated readings slightly higher, yet such factors are unlikely to shift the official high beyond the 30°C threshold based on the latest meteorological updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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